This is a silly article. First EV and hybrid cars were purchased by a sliver of a market for climate change. The next wave purchase EV as more fun to drive then gas BMW Volvo Audi .., check out who is leading sales of gas or electric. The next wave is savings for working stiffs EV cost less to own fuel maintenance and replacement cost. Hertz plan sales to Uber drivers, police departments switching to Tesla. The next wave will be 25000 EV with lower cost to own. When you add in longer life of EV compared to gas basically EV will drive gas consumption down by 50% by 2033. Your analysis does not account for consumer preferences nor the faster improvement in cost performance of EV based on current relative trends