All good points. Those biasedvstudies all underestimate the pace of continuous improvement even the face of recent history.

The life cycle cost of EV trucks is lower than diesel now. Seems that will drive sales growth. The 200 mile a day last mile trucks can charge overnight. So that chuck o market will go EV quickly.
The are so many batteries entering the market today with 2X the energy density with likely EV qual 2027 I would bet on high conversion rates in 2027.
However in the queue are 3X energy density batteries (also with lower cost per kWh) guessing 2032. By than it is likely game over for new diesel truck sales.
900 mile range, charge overnight maybe some highways offer continuous wireless charging…