Robert Roth
2 min readMay 10, 2024

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Of course the US try’s hard to minimize technology transfer. But both semiconductors and engineering tools have gotten too capable and too cheap ( or to easy to steal). Look at the military weapons of North Korea and Iran.

So what else? In the case of Russia drive the value of oil down, drive down oil profits. One way is Ukraine attacking Russian oil production. However if EVs replace about 90% of gasoline and diesel you eliminate about 50% of the oil consumed. Increasing the pace of this transition is a strategic win against Russian and Middle East terrorists as their oil profits shrink.

Can the pace be accelerated? The inflation reduction act helps. However 20% of vehicles consume 50% of gasoline and diesel. Plus it is cheaper now for those case to go EV. So prioritize those cases.

Of course accelerate electric production with renewables and heat with heat pumps not natural gas.

What is your gut guess on how long it will take to reduce Russian oil and natural gas profits to half? My guess is if the motivation for the shift becomes more than climate change and becomes a path to cheaper energy and safer world 10 years. So more of the defense budget shifts to increasing the pace of EV and renewables.

The military should triple their orders for Lyten and Amprius batteries. Send them to Ukraine and double the run time of drones. That could be done today.

https://medium.com/areas-producers/ev-dreams-90-yield-52544c481a87

The next generation battery technology will double EV market growth. Fund the production growth of these new technologies as a national security priority .


https://medium.com/areas-producers/ev-dreams-whats-next-675a75fe3797

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Robert Roth
Robert Roth

Written by Robert Roth

Retired Intel Electrical Engineer, 70's US Navy Officer Nuclear Power Program, Graduate studies in Business UC Berkeley, BSEE U of Fla.

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