Robert Roth
Mar 15, 2024

In the U.S. about 20% of vehicles consume 50% of gasoline and diesel, this represents about 25% of US oil consumption. The high consumption use cases, today, find EVs have cheaper life cycle costs. My guess is these cases will capture a larger share of the EV market. When will most of that segment be EV and reduce US oil consumption by 25%? My guess 2033. Improving battery performance and lower cost plus government policy plus consumer experience with lower life cycle cost will all increase the pace.

Robert Roth
Robert Roth

Written by Robert Roth

Retired Intel Electrical Engineer, 70's US Navy Officer Nuclear Power Program, Graduate studies in Business UC Berkeley, BSEE U of Fla.

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